Showing 1 - 10 of 6,780
empirically whether the measurement of trend inflation can be improved by using disaggregated data on sectoral inflation to …An important input to monetary policymaking is estimating the current level of inflation. This paper examines … construct indexes akin to core inflation, but with time-varying distributed lags of weights, where the sectoral weight depends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020717
Official price indexes, such as the CPI, are imperfect indicators of inflation calculated using ad hoc price formulae … different from the theoretically well-founded inflation indexes favored by economists. This paper provides the first estimate of … how accurately the CPI informs us about "true" inflation. We use the largest price and quantity dataset ever employed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074909
The debate over including asset prices in the construction of an inflation statistic has attracted renewed attention in … inflation at the retail level. In this paper, we take an alternative, longer-term perspective on the issue and argue that the … exclusion of asset prices introduces an 'excluded goods bias' in the computation of the inflation statistic that is of interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233847
This paper shows that conventional measures of cost-of-living inflation, based on static models of consumption, suffer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248576
Millions of goods and services are now unavailable in many countries due to the current coronavirus pandemic, dramatically impacting on the construction of key economic statistics used for informing policy. This situation is unprecedented; hence methods to address it have not previously been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833756
This paper shows how to generate the joint distribution of correlated random variables with specified marginal distributions. For cases where the marginal distributions are either normal or lognormal, it shows how to calculate analytically the correlation of the underlying normal distributions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219331
The Consumer Price Index does not take into account the fact that consumers alter the composition of their purchases in response to changes in relative prices. This substitution effect will cause the CPI to grow faster than the cost of living. This paper presents new estimates showing that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322302
This paper investigates the use of high-frequency scanner data to construct price indexes. In the presence of inventory behavior, purchases and consumption by individuals differ over time. Cost-of-living indexes can still be constructed using data on purchases. For weekly data on canned tuna,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322321
living. This paper develops a framework for studying measurement problems in the consumer price index and systematically … rate of inflation for medical procedures that are subject to technological improvement. To illustrate this point and to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324463
Two strands of the literature suggest that PPI inflation, rather than CPI inflation, should be the targeting variable … in a monetary policy rule. The distinction between these two rules would only be important if the two inflation indices … do not co-move strongly. The first contribution of this paper is to document that the two inflation gauges did co …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927035