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the probability of default, in a high-debt high-risk-aversion economy such as Brazil during that period. It then estimates … the model, using Brazilian data. It concludes that, in 2002, the level and the composition of public debt in Brazil, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227007
large devaluation episodes: Argentina (2001), Brazil (1999), Korea (1997), Mexico (1994), and Thailand (1997). We conduct a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220091
Inflation targeting is a monetary-policy strategy that is characterized by an announced numerical inflation target, an implementation of monetary policy that gives a major role to an inflation forecast and has been called forecast targeting, and a high degree of transparency and accountability....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131986
Inflation targeting is shown to imply inflation forecast targeting: the central bank's inflation forecast becomes an explicit intermediate target. Inflation forecast targeting simplifies both implementation and monitoring of monetary policy. The weight on output stabilization determines how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125561
The paper examines the robustness of Interest Rate Rules, IRRs, in the context of an imperfectly credible stabilization program, closely following the format of much of the literature in open-economy models, e.g., Calvo and Veacute;gh (1993 and 1999). A basic result is that IRRs, like Exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760044
Price level targeting (without base drift) and inflation targeting (with base drift) are compared under commitment and discretion, with persistence in unemployment. Price level targeting is often said to imply more short-run inflation variability and thereby more employment variability than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215703
The paper gives a brief account of the Swedish experience of an inflation target in a floating exchange rate regime; identifies, documents and discusses the current problems in Swedish monetary policy and their origins; considers what can be done to remedy the problems; and draws some general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216114
Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central banks' deliberations sorely missed in the past. At least in today's inherited monetary policymaking context, however, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220387
Previous analysis of the implementation of inflation targeting is extended to monetary policy responses to different shocks, consequences of model uncertainty, effects of interest rate smoothing and stabilization, a comparison with nominal GDP targeting, and implications of forward-looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232903
The paper begins by tracing the origins of the case for inflation targeting in postwar US monetary history. It describes five aspects of inflation targeting practiced implicitly by the Greenspan Fed. It argues that (1) low long run inflation should be an explicit priority for monetary policy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233841