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We investigate whether bonds span the volatility risk in the U.S. Treasury market, as predicted by most 'affine' term …-frequency data. We find that the yield curve fails to span yield volatility, as the systematic volatility factors are largely …-diffusive models is incapable of accommodating the observed yield volatility dynamics. An important implication is that the bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760310
Investors in option markets price in a substantial collective government bailout guarantee in the financial sector, which puts a floor on the equity value of the financial sector as a whole, but not on the value of the individual firms. The guarantee makes put options on the financial sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123683
Widespread violations of stochastic dominance by one-month Samp;P 500 index call options over 1986-2006 imply that a trader can improve expected utility by engaging in a zero-net-cost trade net of transaction costs and bid-ask spread. Although pre-crash option prices conform to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758035
We model the demand-pressure effect on prices when options cannot be perfectly hedged. The model shows that demand pressure in one option contract increases its price by an amount proportional to the variance of the unhedgeable part of the option. Similarly, the demand pressure increases the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761687
We document that the implied volatility skew of S&P 500 index puts is non-decreasing in the disaster index and risk …-the-money puts, thereby steepening the implied volatility skew and resolving the puzzle. Consistent with the data, the model also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022917
The optimal portfolio of a utility-maximizing investor trading in the S&P 500 index and cash, subject to proportional transaction costs, becomes stochastically dominated when overlaid with a zero-net-cost portfolio of S&P 500 options bought at their ask and written at their bid price in most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233758
the spot volatility extracted from the options and the one obtained nonparametrically from high-frequency data on the … underlying asset. We further construct new formal tests of the model fit for specific regions of the volatility surface and for … index options we extend the popular double-jump stochastic volatility model to allow for time-varying jump risk premia and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107009
the %u2018volatility smirk%u2019 can be rationalized if the agent is endowed with Epstein-Zin preferences and if the … framework the stark regime change in the volatility smirk that has maintained since the 1987 market crash. To this end, we … jump. Note that such beliefs only update at crash dates, and hence can explain why the volatility smirk has not diminished …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767454
uncertainty. The results dictate the role of uncertainty and volatility in structural models and we show they are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224964
A new model is proposed for representinq the term to maturity structure of interest rates at a point in time.The model produces humped, monotonic and S-shaped yield curves using four parameters. Conditional on a time decay parameter, estimates of the other three are obtained by least squares....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785278