Showing 1 - 10 of 8,898
correlated, contrary to what theory suggests – for eight advanced country exchange rates against the US dollar, over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927015
) levels of volatility. These results provide a novel perspective on both the equity risk premium and excess volatility puzzles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293433
mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal … increasing the persistence of volatility fluctuations and their impact on stock prices. This calibration fits the predictive … power of stock prices for future consumption volatility, but implies much greater predictive power of stock prices for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225971
In a model where a variable Y[sub t] is proportional to the present value, with constant discount rate, of expected future values of a variable y[sub t] the quot;spreadquot; S[sub t]= Y[sub t] - [theta sub t] will be stationary for some [theta] whether or not y[sub t]must be differenced to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763269
This paper presents a bound on the variance of the price-dividend ratio and a decomposition of the variance of the price-dividend ratio into components that reflect variation in expected future discount rates and variation in expected future dividend growth. Unobserved discount rates needed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762729
, return volatility, and trading volume in the mortgage-backed security market. We find that increased disagreement is … associated with higher expected returns, higher return volatility, and larger trading volume. These results imply that there is a … positive risk premium for disagreement in asset prices. We also show that volatility in and of itself does not lead to higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096485
aggregate wealth and the cross-sectional differences in risk premia. Estimation of our volatility risks based model yields an …We show that volatility movements have first-order implications for consumption dynamics and asset prices. Volatility … news affects the stochastic discount factor and carries a separate risk premium. In the data, volatility risks are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106078
-shifts of heterogeneous durations affect the volatility of dividend news. We estimate tightly parameterized specifications with … likelihood than the classic Campbell and Hentschel (1992) specification, while generating volatility feedback effects 6 to 12 … times larger. We show in an extension that Bayesian learning about stochastic volatility is faster for bad states than good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754523
unconditional moments of asset returns, imply a lower bound on the volatility of the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution. We … short time series of consumption data undermines the ability of tests that use the restrictions implied by the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776681
Existing research has documented cross-sectional seasonality of stock returns—the periodic outperformance of certain stocks during the same calendar months or weekdays. A model in which assets differ in their sensitivities to investor mood explains these effects and implies other seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224974