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Fiscal Policy and Monetary Integration in Europe

Galí, Jordi; Perotti, Roberto - 2021

A popular view among economists, policymakers, and the media, is that the Maastricht Treaty and then Stability and Growth Pact have significantly impaired the ability of EU governments to conduct a stabilizing fiscal policy and to provide an adequate level of public infrastructure. In this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239944

Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts : Can Private Forecasts Help?

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2016

Government forecasts of GDP growth and budget balances are generally more over-optimistic than private sector forecasts. When official forecasts are especially optimistic relative to private forecasts ex ante, they are more likely also to be over-optimistic relative to realizations ex post. For...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988513

The Euro and the Stability Pact

Feldstein, Martin S. - 2021

This paper begins by discussing the inherent conflict between the simultaneous existence of a single currency for the countries of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and the independent fiscal policies of those countries. The Stability and Growth Pact was an attempt to reconcile that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211701

Over-Optimistic Official Forecasts in the Eurozone and Fiscal Rules

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2012

. The members of the eurozone are supposedly constrained by the fiscal caps of the Stability and Growth Pact. Yet ever since …:•Governments' budget forecasts are biased in the optimistic direction, especially among the Eurozone countries, especially when they have …-optimistic during booms.•Despite the well-known tendency of eurozone members to exceed the 3% cap on budget deficits, often in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102194

Fiscal Rules : Theoretical Issues and Historical Experiences

Wyplosz, Charles - 2012

Fiscal indiscipline is a feature of many developed countries. It is generally accepted that the source of the phenomenon lies in the common pool problem, the fact that recipients of public spending to fail to fully internalize the costs that taxpayers must assume. As a result, democratically...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110082