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We develop a general equilibrium model of government policy choice in which stock prices respond to political news. The model implies that political uncertainty commands a risk premium whose magnitude is larger in weaker economic conditions. Political uncertainty reduces the value of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119985
Policymaking for posterity involves current decisions with distant consequences. Contrary to conventional prescriptions, we conclude that the greater wealth of future generations may strengthen the case for preserving environmental amenities; lower discount rates should be applied to the far...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758343
Seminal work by Weitzman (1974) revealed prices are preferred to quantities when marginal benefits are relatively flat compared to marginal costs. We extend this comparison to indexed policies, where quantities are proportional to an index, such as output. We find that policy preferences hinge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759315
We study the problem of a policymaker who seeks to set policy optimally in an economy where the true economic structure is unobserved, and he optimally learns from observations of the economy. This is a classic problem of learning and control, variants of which have been studied in the past, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759822
The purpose of this article is to demonstrate how a rich array of methods can be applied to increase the relevance of field experiments in public economics. Two cross-cutting themes are important in multiple phases of the research. First, greater statistical sophistication can draw more value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760378
time across issues in their floor speeches. Consistent with the theory, we find evidence of political posturing due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018308
Motivated by the need for more flexible decision-making mechanisms in the European Union, the paper proposes a simple but novel voting scheme for binary decisions taken by committees that meet regularly over time. At each meeting, committee members are allowed to store their vote for future use;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216484
The thesis of this paper is that more transparent, rule-bound and subtle mechanisms for policy coordination will be needed to ensure the success of an enlarged European Union. A common policy is a public good with distributional implications. Economists have developed a large number of plausible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224314
This paper questions the link between the establishment of a common currency among several countries and the necessity of political coordination. It begins by discussing why conducting a single monetary policy is thought to be easier within a single political unit. It then proceeds to enquire...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224674
the beliefs of millions of consumers than a handful of bureaucrats. As such, recognizing the limits of human cognition may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239179