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-market recovery from financial crises is characterized by either higher unemployment ("jobless recovery") or a lower real wage … ("wageless recovery"). Second, inflation determines the type of recovery: low inflation (below 30 percent annual rate) is … associated with jobless recovery, while high inflation is associated with wageless recovery. The paper shows that this pattern of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099123
. This suggests that currency depreciation can help reduce unemployment only insofar as it is associated with inflation, and …This paper discusses three policy tools to mitigate jobless recoveries during financial crises: inflation, real … document that large inflationary spikes appear to help unemployment to get back to pre-crisis levels. However, the counterpart …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072345
, inflation and housing prices. Flows into both full and partial retirement increase significantly when the unemployment rate … retirement spells has been steadily increasing. We estimate the response of retirement timing to variations in unemployment rate … rises. Workers around normal retirement age are especially sensitive to variations in the unemployment rate. Workers who are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072875
unemployment rate has been about 0.8 percentage points higher than if average inflation had been on target. This is a large … unemployment cost of undershooting the inflation target …If inflation expectations become firmly anchored at the inflation target even when average inflation deviates from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075868
This paper describes a new data set of the forecasts of output growth, inflation, and unemployment prepared by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151648
Previous literature has found that both unemployment and inflation lower happiness. This paper extends the literature … interest rates. I find, conventionally, that both higher unemployment and higher inflation lower happiness. Interest rates are … that unemployment depresses well-being more than inflation. The least educated and the old are more concerned about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773313
We study the long-run relation between money, measured by inflation or interest rates, and unemployment. We first … where both money and unemployment are modeled using explicit microfoundations, integrating and extending recent work in … accounts for some but not that much of trend unemployment -- by one measure, about 1/5 of the increase during the stagflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759405
for the unemployment-inflation tradeoff and for the conduct of monetary policy.lt;brgt;lt;brgt;We proceed in two steps. We … staggered price setting by firms. We derive the relation between inflation and unemployment and discuss how it is influenced by …We construct a utility-based model of fluctuations, with nominal rigidities and unemployment, and draw its implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759440
unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011919
-market slack is captured by the level of short-term unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the Survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043275