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The prevailing view in finance is that the evidence for long-horizon stock return predictability is significantly stronger than that for short horizons. We show that for persistent regressors, a characteristic of most of the predictive variables used in the literature, the estimators are almost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767390
reaction of monetary policy. When everyone engages in maturity transformation, authorities have little choice but facilitating … correlate their risk exposures. Second, private borrowers may deliberately choose to increase their interest-rate sensitivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158032
In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument … temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp information about the cross-country risk premium; countries closer to the … Equator carry a positive temperature risk premium which decreases as one moves farther away from the Equator. The differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118834
Recent work in international finance suggests that the forward premium puzzle can be accounted for if (1) aggregate uncertainty is time-varying, and (2) countries have heterogeneous exposures to a world aggregate shock. We embed these features in a standard two-country real business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121723
We estimate the risk and expected returns of private equity investments based on the market prices of exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156423
a key determinant of risk premia at all investment horizons. As the investment horizon increases, transitory risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776939
quality and liquidity across countries, we show that the bulk of sovereign yield spreads is explained by differences in credit … quality, though liquidity plays a non-trivial role especially for low credit risk countries and during times of heightened …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779742
and volatility on investment strategies. Using the event-risk framework of Duffie, Pan, and Singleton (2000), we provide … analytical solutions to the optimal portfolio problem. Event risk dramatically affects the optimal strategy. An investor facing … event risk is less willing to take leveraged or short positions. The investor acts as if some portion of his wealth may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787129
. Entrepreneurial activity is subject to a dynamic moral hazard problem and entrepreneurs face idiosyncratic capital risk. We first … risk, which determines their hedging value. Entrepreneurial capital always receives a subsidy relative to other assets in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224378
of idiosyncratic passive variations in the risky asset share. Wealthy, educated investors with better diversified … portfolios tend to rebalance more actively. We find some evidence that households rebalance towards a higher risky share as they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753525