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The paper develops a simple stochastic new open economy macroeconomic model based on sticky nominal wages. Explicit solution of the wage-setting problem under uncertainty allows one to analyze the effects of the monetary regime on welfare, expected output, and the expected terms of trade....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221940
Expanding on an approach suggested by Ashenfelter (1984), we extend the Phillips curve to an open economy and exploit panel data to estimate the textbook 'expectations augmented' Phillips curve with a market-based and observable measure of inflation expectations. We develop this measure using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292577
Real exchange rate (RER) misalignment is now a standard concept in international macroeconomic theory and policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321576
Financially closed economies insure themselves against current-account shocks using international reserves. We characterize the optimal management of reserves using an open-economy model of precautionary savings and emphasize several results. First, the welfare-based opportunity cost of reserves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995514
This paper links business cycle volatility to barriers on international mobility of goods and capital. Theory predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074148
We study the effects of debt-financed fiscal transfers in a general equilibrium, heterogeneous-agent model of the world economy. In the long run, increases in government debt anywhere raise the world interest rate and increase private wealth everywhere. In the short run, a country with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081636
sector bias of sbtc during the 1970s and 1980s. The hypothesis is also strongly supported by more structural estimation on U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311868
This paper examines the desirability of wage indexation in an open economy subject to economic disturbances which change the terms of trade and raise the prices of imported goods. Two indexation rules are considered, the traditional form of indexation to the consumer price index and indexation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228637
It takes a woman and a man to make a baby. This fact suggests that for a birth to take place, the parents should first agree on wanting a child. Using newly available data on fertility preferences and outcomes, we show that indeed, babies are likely to arrive only if both parents desire one. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996885
A central result in international macroeconomics is that a government cannot simultaneously opt for open financial markets, fixed exchange rates, and monetary autonomy; rather, it is constrained to choosing no more than two of these three. In the wake of the Great Recession, however, there has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075802