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Guiso, Luigi
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1
The Effects of Oil Price Changes on the Industry-Level Production and Prices in the U.S. And Japan
Fukunaga, Ichirou
-
2010
In this paper, we decompose oil price changes into their component parts following Kilian (2009) and estimate the dynamic effects of each component on industry-level production and prices in the U.S. and Japan using identified VAR models. The way oil price changes affect each industry depends on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147155
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2
Four Centuries of Return Predictability
Golez, Benjamin
-
2015
/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently
forecast
…
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031015
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3
Historical Political Futures Markets : An International Perspective
Rhode, Paul W.
-
2008
back to 16th Century
Italy
, 18th Century Britain, and 19th Century United States. In the United States, election betting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770098
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4
Old Europe Ages : Reforms and Reform Backlashes
Börsch-Supan, Axel H.
-
2010
focuses on three large Continental European countries: France, Germany, and
Italy
. These countries have large pay …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147613
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5
The Dynamics of Car Sales : A Discrete Choice Approach
Adda, Jerome
-
2006
Mankiw [1982] explores the Permanent Income Hypothesis implication that durable expenditures follow an ARMA(1,1) representation. He finds that durable expenditures are represented by an AR(1) process which implies that the rate of depreciation of durables, under the PIH model, is 100%. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783955
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6
Continuous-Time Linear Models
Cochrane, John H.
-
2012
I translate familiar concepts of discrete-time time-series to contnuous-time equivalent. I cover lag operators, ARMA models, the relation between levels and differences, integration and cointegration, and the Hansen-Sargent prediction formulas
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104725
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7
Momentum Profits and Macroeconomic Risk
Liu, Laura Xiaolei
-
2010
Previous work shows that the growth rate of industrial production is a common macroeconomic risk factor in the cross-section of expected returns. We demonstrate the connection between momentum profits and shifts in factor loadings on this macroeconomic variable. Winners have temporarily higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762434
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8
Why is Pollution from U.S. Manufacturing Declining? The Roles of Environmental Regulation, Productivity, and Trade
Shapiro, Joseph S.
-
2015
Between 1990 and 2008, air pollution emissions from U.S. manufacturing fell by 60 percent despite a substantial increase in manufacturing output. We show that these emissions reductions are primarily driven by within-product changes in emissions intensity rather than changes in output or in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029557
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9
Deep Financial Integration and Volatility
Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem
-
2010
We investigate the relationship between financial integration and output volatility at micro and macro levels. Using a very large firm-level dataset from EU countries over time, we construct a measure of "deep" financial integration at the regional level based on foreign ownership at the firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144963
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10
Retrospective on the 1970s Productivity Slowdown
Nordhaus, William D.
-
2021
The present study analyzes the "productivity slowdown" of the 1970s. The study also develops a new data set -- industrial data available back to 1948 -- as well as a new set of tools for decomposing changes in productivity growth. The major result of this study is that the productivity slowdown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225155
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