Showing 1 - 10 of 1,146
We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous reductions in fertility on output per capita. Our simulation model … quantitative macroeconomic theory. We apply the model to examine the effect of a change in fertility from the UN medium-variant to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120983
the rise in the demand for human capital in the process of development was the main trigger for the decline in fertility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125156
, combined with reduced fertility and increases in the working-age population, have contributed to economic growth in some areas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236999
This paper develops a unified model of growth, population, and technological progress that is consistent with long-term historical evidence. The economy endogenously evolves through three phases. In the Malthusian regime, population growth is positively related to the level of income per capita....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247642
This paper examines the central hypothesis of the influential Malthusian theory, according to which improvements in the technological environment during the pre-industrial era had generated only temporary gains in income per capita, eventually leading to a larger, but not significantly richer,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125175
We use census data for the US, Canada, Spain, and UK to estimate bilateral migration rates to these countries from 25 Latin American and Caribbean nations over the period 1980 to 2005. Latin American migration to the US is responsive to labor supply shocks, as predicted by earlier changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069156
This paper examines whether management changes caused by the entry of the baby boom into the workforce explain the US productivity slowdown in the 1970s and resurgence in the 1990s. Lucas (1978) suggests that the quality of managers plays a significant role in determining output. If there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155033
The 1960s ushered in a new era in U.S. demographic history characterized by significantly lower fertility rates and … provides new evidence that it accelerated the post-1960 decline in marital fertility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757951
Only a few rich nations are currently at replacement levels of fertility and many are considerably below. We believe … that changes in the status of women are driving fertility change. At low levels of female status, women specialize in … household production and fertility is high. In an intermediate phase, women have increasing opportunities to earn a living …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759186
The literature generally points to a negative relationship between female education and fertility. Citing this pattern … and social welfare in developing countries. This paper tests whether the relationship between fertility and education is … fertility. The analysis suggests that increasing education by one year reduces fertility by 0.26 births …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760105