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shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility … economy. Moreover, investors have historically paid large premia to hedge shocks to realized but not implied volatility. A … model in which fundamental shocks are skewed left can match those facts. Aggregate volatility matters, but it is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948093
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high-frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767561
stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility …The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy … ("uncertainty"), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty, with the former effect being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137030
It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively … correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level … and to examine two potential explanations of the asymmetry: leverage effects and time-varying risk premiums. Our empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783965
idiosyncratic stock market volatility, on individual outcomes. We find that firms provide at best partial insurance to their workers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013288993
volatility literature, namely its relative neglect of the connection between macroeconomic fundamentals and asset return … volatility. We progress by analyzing a broad international cross section of stock markets covering approximately forty countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758496
This paper tests whether macroeconomic news is transmitted to exchange rates via the transactions process and if so, what share occurs via transactions versus the traditional direct channel. We identify the link between order flow and macro news using a heteroskedasticity-based approach, a la...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767786
We estimate the impact of coups and top-secret coup authorizations on asset prices of partially nationalized multinational companies that stood to benefit from US-backed coups. Stock returns of highly exposed firms reacted to coup authorizations classified as top-secret. The average cumulative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127017
explores the determinants of fluctuations in U.S. bank claims on a broad set of countries. U.S. bank claims on Latin American …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787752
We assess the impact of U.S. trade policy uncertainty (TPU) toward China in a tractable general equilibrium framework with heterogeneous firms. We show that increased TPU reduces investment in export entry and technology upgrading, which in turn reduces trade flows and real income for consumers....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035139