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have argued that trade makes war less likely, yet World War I erupted at a time of unprecedented globalization. This paper …Existing theories of pre-emptive war typically predict that the leading country may choose to launch a war on a … was Japan who launched a war against the West in 1941, not the West that pre-emptively attacked Japan. Similarly, many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937867
the reasons why these two forces moved largely in parallel in the decades leading up to World War I, collapsed during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911466
We investigate the long-run effects of cooling on conflict. We construct a geo-referenced and digitized database of conflicts in Europe, North Africa, and the Near East from 1400-1900, which we merge with historical temperature data. We show that cooling is associated with increased conflict....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224365
Measured by the ratio of trade to output, the period 1870 1913 marked the birth of the first era of trade globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223049
This paper develops a theoretical framework to study the interaction between globalization and political structure. We … early stages, the political response to globalization consists of removing borders by increasing country size. In its later … stages, however, the political response to globalization is to remove borders by creating international unions, and this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997882
important events in recorded history. Other world historians insist that globalization stretches back even earlier. There is a …Some world historians attach globalization big bang' significance to 1492 (Christopher Colombus stumbles on the … third view which argues that the world economy was fragmented and completely de-globalized before the 19th century. None of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228972
This paper examines the effects of campaign spending limits on political competition and incumbency advantage. We study a reform in Brazil that imposed limits on campaign spending for mayoral elections. These limits were implemented with a discontinuous kink which we exploit for causal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954449
This paper presents a model of political competition with campaign contributions and informative political advertising. Policy-motivated parties compete by selecting candidates and interest groups provide contributions to enhance the electoral prospects of like-minded candidates. Contributions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121983
Many political markets are essentially uncontested, in the sense that one candidate raises little (or no) money and consequently has little chance of election. This presents a puzzle in the presence of apparently low barriers to entry. Using a variant of Baron (1989) we provide a theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227738
This paper explores the means by which warfare influences domestic commodity markets. It is argued that England during the French Wars provides an ideal testing ground. Four categories of explanatory variables are taken as likely sources of documented changes in English commodity price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139748