Showing 1 - 10 of 606
or time-varying volatilities. Moreover, the rejection of the random walk cannot be interpreted as supporting a mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774624
We develop measures of time-varying risk aversion and economic uncertainty that are calculated from financial variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889979
, while the time span of the data remains fixed, and the cross-sectional dimension is fixed or increasing. We derive a Central … Limit Theorem (CLT) for the cross-sectional beta dispersion at a point in time, enabling us to test whether this quantity … beta dispersion, as a function of time-of-day, changes across days. We extend this further by developing inference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224117
As illustrated in the tale of "the dog that did not bark," the absence of news and the passage of time often contain … after merger announcement, the passage of time is informative about the probability that the merger will ultimately complete … consistent with a behavioral model of underreaction to the passage of time and cannot be explained by changes in risk or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084725
unlikely to be stable. This paper documents the time variation in the responses of yield curves and exchange rates using high … frequency data from January 2000 through August 2011. Significant time variation in news effects is present for those … announcements that have the largest effects on asset prices. The time variation in effects is explained by economic conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074549
This paper attempts to assess whether money can generate persistent economic" fluctuations in dynamic general equilibrium models of the business cycle. We show that a small" nominal friction in the goods market can make the response of output to monetary shocks large" and persistent if it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248406
This paper develops asymptotic econometric theory to help understand data generated by a present value model with a discount factor near one. A leading application is to exchange rate models. A key assumption of the asymptotic theory is that the discount factor approaches 1 as the sample size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103507
Standard models of exchange rates, based on macroeconomic variables such as prices, interest rates, output, etc., are thought by many researchers to have failed empirically. We present evidence to the contrary. First, we emphasize the point that "beating a random walk" in forecasting is too...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106155
So-called "spurious regression" relationships between random-walk (or strongly autoregressive) variables are generally accompanied by clear signs of severe autocorrelation in their residuals. A conscientious researcher would therefore not end an investigation with such a result, but would likely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148388
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247026