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We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an epidemic model and link valuations to infections via an asset-pricing framework with vaccines. Infections lower earnings growth but firms can mitigate damages. We estimate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833123
We present a two-armed bandit model of decision making under uncertainty where the expected return to investing in the "risky arm'' increases when choosing that arm and decreases when choosing the "safe'' arm. These dynamics are natural in applications such as human capital development, job...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082147
for the development of public-private partnerships, as recognized in November 2002 when the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act … of 2002 (TRIA) was passed. This paper shows, however, that the temporary insurance system established by TRIA is neither … current level of demand for insurance coverage has remained low and we discuss some factors that may contribute to it. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755813
We develop a dynamic agency model where payout, investment and financing decisions are made by managers who attempt to maximize the rents they take from the firm, subject to a capital market constraint. Managers smooth payout in order to smooth their flow of rents. Total payout (dividends plus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139901
conditions under which the variation in a small asset's price-dividend ratio can be attributed almost entirely to variation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118845
firm shifts its dividend risk to the upside, which amplifies the overvaluation and explains the premium. Second, we argue … market through a higher share price, but is inefficient from the perspective of dividend value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121056
Many leading asset pricing models predict that the term structures of expected returns and volatilities on dividend … these models replace their exogenously specified dividend dynamics with processes that are derived endogenously from capital …) when leverage is low (high), which shifts risk from long-horizon to short-horizon dividend strips. This framework also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099417
We outline a dividend signaling approach in which rational managers signal firm strength to investors who are loss … of the same level next period. The model is consistent with several features of the data, including equilibrium dividend … policies similar to a Lintner partial-adjustment model; modal dividend changes of zero; stronger market reactions to dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103531
dividend growth rates between 1975 and 2016. Further, when learning about dividend dynamics is incorporated into a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015544
We examine the hypothesis that dividend taxes are capitalized into share prices by focusing on investors' implicit …-in equity is distributable as a tax-free return of capital. Consistent with dividend tax capitalization, firm-level results for … addition, differences in dividend tax rates across U.S. tax regimes are associated with predictable differences in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774805