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What is the driving force behind the cyclical behavior of unemployment and vacancies? What is the relation between job-creation incentives of firms and stock market valuations? We answer these questions in a model with time-varying risk, modeled as a small and variable probability of an economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015095
Previous research has used survey and diary data to carefully document that Food Stamp recipients decrease their expenditures and consumption of food throughout the benefit month, the beginning of which is defined by the date on which benefits are distributed. The reliance on survey and diary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758063
Recent studies based on US data have provided evidence to suggest that the 'quarter of birth' (QOB) may be endogenous and that the use of QOB as an instrumental variable will consequently produce inconsistent estimates (see Buckles and Hungerman, 2013). Such potential endogeneity is addressed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048103
Two otherwise identical firms that enter the same market in different months, one in January and one in December, will report dramatically different annual sales for the first calendar year of operations. This partial year effect in annual data leads to downward biased observations of the level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059763
In this paper we estimate the size of weekend effects for seven emotions and then explore their main determinants for the working population in the United States, using the Gallup/Healthways US Daily Poll 2008-2012. We first find that weekend effects exist for all emotions, and that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019104
China's exchange rate policy in 2005 and 2010 and data on 6,050 firms in 44 countries. Renminbi appreciation has a positive … effect on firms exporting to China but little positive or even a negative impact on those providing inputs for China …'s processing exports. Stock prices rise for firms competing with China in their home market while falling for firms importing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118251
China's investment rate is one of the highest in the world, which naturally leads one to suspect that the return to … capital in China must be quite low. Using the data from China's national accounts, we estimate the rate of return to capital … in China. We find that the aggregate rate of return to capital averaged 25% during 1978-1993, fell during 1993-1998, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778136
in China.Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858401
The 2005 split-share reform in China mandated the conversion of nontradable stocks into tradable status. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053854
China is the world's largest investor and greatest contributor to global economic growth by wide margins, and will … sustain this growth. This paper shows that China's stock market has a crucial role to play. Since the reforms of the last … decade, China's stock market has become as informative about future corporate profits as in the US. Moreover, though it is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027692