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This paper analyzes the quality of VAR-based procedures for estimating the response of the economy to a shock. We focus on two key issues. First, do VAR-based confidence intervals accurately reflect the actual degree of sampling uncertainty associated with impulse response functions? Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779825
rates of total factor productivity in distinct consumption- and investment-goods-producing technologies. This model … attributes most of the productivity slowdown of the 1970s to the consumption-goods sector; it suggests that a slowdown in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759764
-open-economy real-business-cycle model driven by nonstationary productivity shocks. We find that the RBC model does a poor job at … business cycles in emerging markets and, importantly, assigns a negligible role to nonstationary productivity shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760602
This paper presents capital utilization corrected measures of technology shocks for aggregate and disaggregated (two digit Standard Industrial Classification code) industries. We correct for variations in capital utilization by employing industrial electrical use as a measure of capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223882
Using data for the G7 countries, I estimate conditional correlations of employment and productivity, based on a …) technology shocks appear to induce a negative comovement between productivity and employment, counterbalanced by a positive … positive technology shock, and (c) measured productivity increases temporarily in response to a positive demand shock. More …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246500
investment-specific productivity. We document that in U.S. postwar quarterly data total factor productivity (TFP) and the … cointegrated if and only if neutral and investment-specific productivity share a common stochastic trend. We econometrically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142289
There are several candidate explanations for macro-fluctuations. Two of the most common discussed sources are surprise changes in disembodied technology and monetary innovations. Another popular explanation is found under the heading of a preference or more generally a demand shock. More...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152795
We provide evidence on the relationship between aggregate uncertainty and the macroeconomy. Identifying uncertainty shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility are robustly followed by contractions, while shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948093
candidates for this role: technology or other shocks that map to TFP movements; news about future productivity; and inflationary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913777
mismatches are associated with significant productivity losses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960702