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/capita, shares in world trade and market capitalization attributable both jointly and single to China, India, and Brazil (the three … time. In contrast the North‐China gap falls from 57.2 to 13.1 between 1990 and 2009, and India from 70.4 to 38.1 using … market exchange rates and from 23.4 to 5.5 for China and from 20.7 to 11.4 for India using PPP rates. We calculate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113158
substantially shift towards Asia and especially towards the Asian Giants, China and India. While such forecasts may pan out, there … are substantial reasons that China and India may grow much less rapidly than is currently anticipated. Most importantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045644
This paper documents industrial output and labor productivity growth around the poor periphery 1870-1975 (Latin America, the European periphery, the Middle East, South Asia, Southeast Asia and East Asia). Intensive and extensive industrial growth accelerated there over this critical century. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129186
In 1950 Mexico entered an economic takeoff and grew rapidly for more than 30 years. Growth stopped during the crises of 1982-1995, despite major reforms, including liberalization of foreign trade and investment. Since then growth has been modest. We analyze the economic history of Mexico...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117201
The question addressed in this paper is whether the gap in performance between the developed and developing worlds can continue, and in particular, whether developing nations can sustain the rapid growth they have experienced of late. The good news is that growth in the developing world should...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120308
We revisit Western Europe's record with labor-productivity convergence, and tentatively extrapolate its implications for the future path of Eastern Europe. The poorer Western European countries caught up with the richer ones through both higher rates of physical capital accumulation and greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101075
Will fast growing emerging economies sustain rapid growth rates until they "catch-up" to the technology frontier? Are there incentives for some developed countries to free-ride off of innovators and optimally "fallback" relative to the frontier? This paper models agents growing as a result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106293
trend since 1870 for 25 countries with long-term data. This group excludes emerging-market countries such as China and India … reflects especially the incorporation of China and India into the world market economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001222
W. Arthur Lewis argued that a new international economic order emerged between 1870 and 1913, and that global terms of trade forces produced rising primary product specialization and de-industrialization in the poor periphery. More recently, modern economists argue that volatility reduces growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772451
Income disparity across countries has been large and widening over time. We develop a tractable model where factor requirements in production technology do not necessarily match a country's factor input profile. Appropriate assimilation of frontier technologies balances such multi-dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911691