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-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011919
Are fluctuations in firms' profitability risk a major cause of regular business cycles? We study this question within the framework of a heterogeneous-firm dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with fixed capital adjustment costs. In such a model, surprise increases of risk lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128887
price and wage rigidities to study four countries (the U.S., the U.K., Sweden, and Germany) during the financial crisis and … factors were also important in the U.K., but less so in Sweden and Germany. Reduced matching efficiency was considerably less … important in the U.K. and Sweden than in the U.S., but matching efficiency improved in Germany, helping to keep unemployment low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099824
United States and Germany we find that 80-90 percent of entrepreneurs are opportunity entrepreneurs. Applying our proposed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860853
We propose a simple method to help researchers develop quantitative models of economic fluctuations. The method rests on the insight that many models are equivalent to a prototype growth model with time-varying wedges which resemble productivity, labor and investment taxes, and government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324144
This paper investigates empirically the differences in time?series behavior of key economic aggregates under alternative exchange rate systems. We use a postwar sample of 49 countries to compare the behavior of output. consumption, trade flows, government consumption spending, and real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229068
differential effects of UI in booms and recessions, this paper exploits the fact that, in Germany, potential UI benefit duration is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110942
data from the U.S. and Germany in structural VARs, we find that positive innovations to business uncertainty lead to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141840
This paper examines inflation dynamics in the United States since 1960, with a particular focus on the Great Recession …. A puzzle emerges when Phillips curves estimated over 1960-2007 are used to predict inflation over 2008-2010: inflation … by theories of costly price adjustment: we measure core inflation with the median CPI inflation rate, and we allow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125171
("wageless recovery"). Second, inflation determines the type of recovery: low inflation (below 30 percent annual rate) is … associated with jobless recovery, while high inflation is associated with wageless recovery. The paper shows that this pattern of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099123