dividend growth rates of the aggregate stock market. This approach aggregates information contained in the history of price-dividend … ratios and dividend growth rates to predict future returns and dividend growth rates. We find that returns and dividend … growth rates are predictable with R-squared values ranging from 8.2% to 8.9% for returns and 13.9% to 31.6% for dividend …

through principal component analysis of the covariance matrix of log price dividend ratios of twenty five equity portfolios … formed on Size and Book-to-Market. We identify two price-dividend ratio factor proxies for economy wide long run risk, one … returns alone. The price dividend ratio factors perform better than the stock index price dividend ratio and the corporate …

dividend yield is typically viewed as a reflection of either changing risk, related to the business cycle, or irrational … mispricing. Extending the work on asset allocation and dividend yield by Kandel and Stambaugh (1996) to accommodate variation in …