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The recent financial crisis in Indonesia has resulted in dramatic price increases. Using very recent data, we investigate whether these price increases have impacted the cost-of-living of poor households in a disproportionately harsh way. We find that the poor have indeed been hit hardest. Just...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244886
Inflation persists at moderate rates of 15-30 percent in all the countries that successfully reduced triple digit … inflations in the 1980s. Several other countries, for example Colombia, have experienced moderate inflation for prolonged periods …. In this paper we first set out theories of persistent inflation, which can be classified into those emphasizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245721
solutions such as the conservative central banker and optimal inflation contracts. Our theoretical model also shows how an … inflation targeting range should be set and how it should respond to changes in the nature of shocks to the economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779650
sustained inflation are small relative to the costs of unemployment. If a temporary reduction in unemployment causes a permanent … increase in inflation, the present value of the resulting future welfare costs may well exceed the temporary short-run gain …. Previous analyses have underestimated the cost of a permanent increase in the inflation rate because they have ignored the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218841
uncertainty about the composition or timing of a stabilization. Under full certainty, inflation may rise, fall, or remain constant … there is no simple correlation between changes in the budget deficit and inflation. With uncertainty about the timing OF a … stabilization, the inflation rate will most likely exhibit fluctuations and may overshoot its steady state value, even when real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221975
inflation: the "myopic? government approach and the "weak" government approach. In myopic government models inflation is the … deliberate outcome of politicians strategic behavior, while in weak government models inflation is the unavoidable result of a … political developments in 76 countries for the period 1971-1982. Using a number of alternative definitions of the inflation tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244087
We identify a new set of stylized facts on the 2008-2009 trade collapse that we hope can be used to shed light on the importance of demand and supply-side factors in explaining the fall in trade. In particular, we decompose the fall in international trade into product entry and exit, price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139522
Tropical deforestation accounts for almost one-fifth of greenhouse gas emissions worldwide and threatens the world's most diverse ecosystems. The prevalence of illegal forest extraction in the tropics suggests that understanding the incentives of local bureaucrats and politicians who enforce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114012
We use unique data from 600 Indonesian communities on what individuals know about the poverty status of others to study how network structure influences information aggregation. We develop a model of semi-Bayesian learning on networks, which we structurally estimate using within-village data....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101274
This paper investigates the impact of elite capture on the allocation of targeted government welfare programs in Indonesia, using both a high-stakes field experiment that varied the extent of elite influence and non-experimental data on a variety of existing government transfer programs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086681