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While output declined in virtually all transition economies in the initial years, the speed and extent of the recovery that followed has varied widely across these countries. The contrast between the more and less successful transitions, the latter largely in the former Soviet Union, raises many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014156715
Going from low inflation to price stability involves a short term loss (associated with the" higher unemployment rate … required to reduce the inflation) and results in a series of welfare gains" in all future years. The primary source of these … gains is the reduction in the distortions that result" from the interaction of tax rules and inflation. The paper quantifies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014158369
To what extent is the recent spike in inflation driven by a change in its permanent component? We estimate a semi …-structural model of output, inflation, and the nominal interest rate in the United States over the period 1900-2021. The model predicts … that between 2019 and 2021 the permanent component of inflation rose by 51 basis points. If instead we estimate the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078597
We study the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on Euro Area inflation and how it compares to the experiences of other …-output linkages, affecting both trade and inflation. 2) Inflation can be higher under sector-specific labor shortages relative to a … domestic aggregate demand shocks in explaining Euro Area inflation over 2020-21. 4) International trade did not respond to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080974
discusses the interaction of inflation and exchange rate policy in a variety of contexts. Four different settings are used to … in the transition from high to even higher inflation discussed in the context of Brazil; exchange rate fixing and real … deviatiins arise and how they influence inflation, trade and capital flight …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014106258
JamesTobin, relies on increasing the rate of inflation and making money less attractive relative to real capital. In Tobin …. This paper will examine ways of increasing capital intensity without raising the rate of inflation. The analysis will also … show why, contrary to Tobin's conclusion, a higher rate of inflation may not succeed in increasing investors' willingness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014135796
policy and inflation. As a backdrop, we briefly lay out several theoretical approaches to the effects of fiscal deficits on … inflation: the earlier Keynesian and monetarist approaches; and modern approaches incorporating expectations and forward looking … fiscal deficits and inflation generally holds in wartime when fiscally stressed governments resorted to the inflation tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250933
The paper gives an economic-history perspective of the long struggle with inflation. It covers the early acceleration … inflationary expectation, and consequently to sharp inflation reduction to two-digit levels; The convergence to the advanced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964913
adamant about preventing a rise in inflation? The large fiscal imbalance brings about inflationary pressures, triggering a … spiral of higher inflation, output contraction, and further debt accumulation. A coordinated commitment to inflate away the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951351
This paper uses a data set of over two hundred years of sovereign debt, banking and inflation crises to explore the … experience. We find that for default and inflation crises, twenty years is a significant market, but the distribution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038715