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robust violations of discounted expected utility, inconsistent with both prospect theory probability weighting and models …Risk and time are intertwined. The present is known while the future is inherently risky. Discounted expected utility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138320
utility functions. Our main result is to show that in a multiagent economy, the problem of determining efficient allocations … extending to a stochastic environment Geoffard's (1996) concept of variational utility and his result that variational utility … is equivalent to recursive utility, and then using these results to characterize allocations in a multiagent setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763539
and combining those signals with priors to form posteriors. These posterior expectations exhibit as-if discounting: agents … forecasting (e.g., those with more intelligence) exhibit less discounting. Agents with more domain-relevant experience exhibit … less discounting. Older agents exhibit less discounting (except those with cognitive decline). Agents who are encouraged to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960695
We estimate discount rates of 555 subjects using a laboratory task and find that these individual discount rates predict inter-individual variation in field behaviors (e.g., exercise, BMI, smoking). The correlation between the discount rate and each field behavior is small: none exceeds 0.28 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758495
At each age an organism produces energy by foraging and allocates this energy among reproduction, survival, growth, and intergenerational transfers. We characterize the optimal set of allocation decisions that maximizes reproductive fitness. Time preference (the discount rate) is derived from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770874
with minimal assumptions. We present a general theorem that characterizes the set of discount functions and utility indices … compatible with any 'regular' preference. We provide conditions to test for separable discounted utility (SDU). We elicit … magnitude-dependent discounting with time distortion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024161
Is the standard hyperbolic-discounting model capable of robust qualitative predictions for savings behavior? Despite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929001
, yielding 14,570 decisions. Both the conditional fixed effect logit estimates of the random utility model and mixed logit … thereafter, which is inconsistent with exponential discounting but consistent with hyperbolic discounting. The implied marginal … rate of time preference declines and then rises. Estimates of the quasi-hyperbolic discounting parameter range from 0.48 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247670
-of-sample, cross-validated comparison of intertemporal choice models. Heuristic models outperform traditional utility discounting …. We conclude that heuristic models explain time-money tradeoff choices in experiments better than utility discounting …, which can account for many of the known intertemporal choice anomalies, to discounting models. We conduct an out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028066
This study examines the relationship between time discounting, other sources of time preference, and intertemporal … health domain, the implied rates of time discount decline with the length of the time delay (hyperbolic discounting) and the … to elicit short- and long-run rates of discount in a quasi-hyperbolic discounting framework, finding no evidence that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778234