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inquire systematically as to whether it may prove useful from the vantage point of participants in the weather derivatives … forecasts, but also the long-horizon density forecasts of maximal relevance in weather derivatives contexts. We produce and … evaluate both, with some success. We conclude that additional inquiry into nonstructural weather forecasting methods will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762693
The Global Financial Crisis initiated a period of market turbulence and increased counterparty risk for financial institutions. Even though the Dodd-Frank Act is likely to exempt interbank foreign exchange trading from a central counterparty mandate, market participants have the option to trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103054
an unusual weather pattern depend crucially on actuarial models for determining event (e.g., default) probabilities. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763236
both short-run weather and long-run climate. Exploiting the longitudinal structure of the NLSY79 and random fluctuations in … weather across interviews, we identify the effect of temperature in models with child-specific fixed effects. We find that … from short run weather shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022921
, the hedging activity that requires a variance determined hedge ratio is an important component of the success of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138666
Security baskets and index-lined securities are securities whose values are functions of the cash flows or values of other assets. Creation of these "composite" securities would seem to be redundant since investors can cost1ess1y replicate them. In this paper we study the existence and optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138948
Derivative contracts, swaps, and repos enjoy "super-senior" status in bankruptcy: they are exempt from the automatic …, even though this risk could be borne more efficiently by derivative counterparties. In addition, because super …-senior derivatives dilute existing creditors, they may lead firms to take on derivative positions that are too large from a social …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118249
We develop a model of equilibrium entry, trade, and price formation in over-the- counter (OTC) markets. Banks trade derivatives to share an aggregate risk subject to two trading frictions: they must pay a fixed entry cost, and they must limit the size of the positions taken by their traders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084727
Policy makers and market participants alike wish to understand the amount, economic significance, and concentration of derivatives trading activity. This paper suggests that systematic measuring and reporting of margin by market participants, disaggregated by asset class, would provide more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088391
diversified portfolios. In contrast, hedging the carry with exchange rate options produces large returns that are not a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089284