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Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central banks' deliberations sorely missed in the past. At least in today's inherited monetary policymaking context, however, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220387
In a discretionary regime the monetary authority can print more money and create more inflation than people expect. But, although these inflation surprises can have some benefits, they cannot arise systematically in equilibrium when people understand the policymaker's incentives and form their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311209
to remedy the problems; and draws some general conclusions. The two main current problems are the lack of credibility of … the target and the significant risk that the target will be missed. The reasons for the lack of credibility include the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216114
s were mainly due to imperfect credibility, evident in volatility and stubbornness of long-term interest rates. Studying …'s credibility. We also consider the interplay of monetary targets, operating procedures, and credibility during the Volcker …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248720
A simple test of inflation target credibility is constructed by subtracting the maximum and minimum inflation rates …, fall outside the range of target- consistent real yields, credibility is rejected. Two concepts of credibility, called … absolute credibility and credibility in expectation, are distinguished. The inflation targets of Canada, New Zealand and Sweden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249242
We propose a novel measure of risk perceptions: the price of volatile stocks (PVSt), defined as the book-to-market ratio of low-volatility stocks minus the book-to-market ratio of high-volatility stocks. PVSt is high when perceived risk directly measured from surveys and option prices is low....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322228
We define and study transparency, credibility, and reputation in a model where the central bank's characteristics are … unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more … inflationary policy than a high-credibility bank, in the sense that it induces higher inflation, but a less expansionary policy in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137302
We test whether fixed exchange rate regimes are ever credible in emerging markets by analyzing the behavior of short-term domestic trade bills across countries during the classical gold standard period, the most widely used hard peg in modern financial history. We exploit the fact that global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150729
credibility EBRS is associated with overheating and current account deficits, IRRs give rise to somewhat opposite results … costs infringed by imperfect credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760044
governors suffer from a generic credibility problem. Federal Reserve chairman appointments stand out in terms of their unusually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760094