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Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy
Alesina, Alberto F. - 2011
before the election. Our empirical results suggest that our model performs at least as well and often better than alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124600
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Populists at the Polls : Economic Factors in the 1896 Presidential Election
Eichengreen, Barry - 2017
The 1896 presidential election between William Jennings Bryan and William McKinley has gained new salience in the wake … indicate that bank entry would have had to be very significantly slower to tip the election. There is no question that economic … election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945612
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Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles
Rogoff, Kenneth - 2010
Prior to elections, governments (at all levels) frequently undertake a consumption binge. Taxes are cut, transfers are raised, and government spending is distorted towards highly visible items. The quot;political business cyclequot; (better be thought of as quot;the political budget cyclequot;)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760226
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Political Budget Cycles : Evidence from Italian Cities
Alesina, Alberto F. - 2014
The introduction of a new real estate taxes in Italy in 2011 generated a natural experiment, which is useful to test political budget cycles, i.e. the strategic choice of fiscal variables in relation to elections. We do find substantial evidence of political budget cycles, with municipalities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045647
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Endogenous Election Timings and Political Business Cycles in Japan
Ito, Takatoshi - 2021
general election is an endogenous policy variable in a parliamentary system. Thus, one of the interesting questions in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218913
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The Runner-Up Effect
Anagol, Santosh - 2014
, subsequent elections. Since both candidates lost the election and had similar electoral performance, this is the effect of being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051749
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Can Electronic Procurement Improve Infrastructure Provision? Evidence from Public Works in India and Indonesia
Lewis-Faupel, Sean - 2015
this paper we develop a unique micro-dataset on public works procurement from two fast-growing economies, India and … Indonesia, and use regional and time variation in the adoption of e-procurement across both countries to examine its impact. We … improvements. In India, where we observe an independent measure of construction quality, e-procurement improves the average road …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033032
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Testing Limits to Policy Reversal : Evidence from Indian Privatizations
Dastidar, Siddhartha - 2010
We examine the effect of regime change on privatization using the 2004 election surprise in India. The pro-reform BJP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759805
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A Theory of Political and Economic Cycles
Ales, Laurence - 2012
We develop a theoretical framework in which political and economic cycles are jointly determined. These cycles are driven by three political economy frictions: policymakers are non-benevolent, they cannot commit to policies, and they have private information about the tightness of the government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100994
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Political Credit Cycles : The Case of the Euro Zone
Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús - 2013
We study the mechanisms through which the adoption of the Euro delayed, rather than advanced, economic reforms in the Euro zone periphery and led to the deterioration of important institutions in these countries. We show that the abandonment of the reform process and the institutional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084731