Showing 1 - 10 of 2,167
We empirically decompose the S&P 500's dividend yield into (1) a rational forecast of long-run real dividend growth, (2 …) the subjectively expected risk premium, and (3) residual mispricing attributed to the market's forecast of dividend growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133237
We examine abnormal stock returns surrounding contemporaneous earnings and dividend announcements in order to determine … interaction effect.The abnormal return corresponding to any earnings or dividend announcement depends upon the value of the other … more credence to unanticipated dividend increases or decreases when earnings are also above or below expectations, and vice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774654
This paper examines the empirical relation between stock returns and dividend yields. Several equilibrium pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787433
This paper presents a bound on the variance of the price-dividend ratio and a decomposition of the variance of the … price-dividend ratio into components that reflect variation in expected future discount rates and variation in expected … future dividend growth. Unobserved discount rates needed to make the variance bound and variance decomposition hold are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762729
dividend yield is typically viewed as a reflection of either changing risk, related to the business cycle, or irrational … mispricing. Extending the work on asset allocation and dividend yield by Kandel and Stambaugh (1996) to accommodate variation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763077
dividend yield in real terms was slightly in excess of is 5% per annum, while the long-term price growth was near zero. The … company's unique full-payout dividend policy allows us to estimate an asset pricing model with fundamentally persistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052692
We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on … aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend … growth make an important contribution to fluctuations in the U.S. stock market, despite the failure of the dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750749
The largest commercial bank stocks, ranked by total size of the balance sheet, have significantly lower risk-adjusted returns than small- and medium-sized bank stocks, even though large banks are significantly more levered. We uncover a size factor in the component of bank returns that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038431
This paper applies the Bates (RFS, 2006) methodology to the problem of estimating and filtering time- changed Lévy processes, using daily data on U.S. stock market excess returns over 1926-2006. In contrast to density-based filtration approaches, the methodology recursively updates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160343
dividend-price ratio and interest rate variables, help to forecast excess returns in each country. In addition, in the 1980's U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763162