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The basic competitive model with freely available technology is suited for static industries but misleading as applied to major innovative economies for which development of new technologies equals in magnitude around 10% of gross domestic investment. We distinguish free generic technology from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757081
The primary predictions of strategic-trade theory are not restricted to imperfectly-competitive markets. Indeed, these … predictions emerge in a natural three-country extension of the traditional theory of trade policy in competitive markets, once the … theory is augmented to allow for politically-motivated governments, so that the sign of export policy may be converted from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227741
Motivated by psychological evidence that attention is a scarce cognitive resource, we model investors' attention allocation in learning and study the effects of this on asset-price dynamics. We show that limited investor attention leads to ``category-learningquot; behavior, i.e., investors tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762445
We introduce a new theoretical framework to analyze imperfectly competitive financial markets and trade in assets in an international context. We present a two-country macroeconomic model in which agents are risk averse, assets are imperfect substitutes, the number of financial assets is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763116
This paper reviews, from an applied forecasting perspective, the properties of short- and long-term interest rates in an efficient market. The paper emphasizes that efficient markets do not preclude economic agents from successfully forecasting movements in short-term interest rates. For brief...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763198
In a model where a variable Y[sub t] is proportional to the present value, with constant discount rate, of expected future values of a variable y[sub t] the quot;spreadquot; S[sub t]= Y[sub t] - [theta sub t] will be stationary for some [theta] whether or not y[sub t]must be differenced to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763269
This paper examines the efficiency of the forward yen/dollar market using micro survey data. We first argue that the conventional tests of efficiency (unbiasedness) of the forward rate or of the survey forecasts do not correspond directly to the zero-profit condition. Instead, we use the survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763699
Equity market liberalizations are like IPOs, but they are IPOs of a country's stock market rather than of individual firms. Both are endogenous events whose benefits are limited by poor investor protection, agency costs, and information asymmetries. As for stock prices following an IPO, there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767766
This paper analyzes non-fundamental volatility and efficiency in a class of large games (including e.g. linear-quadratic beauty contests) that feature strategic interaction and endogenous information acquisition. We adopt the rational inattention approach to information acquisition but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840853
correlated, contrary to what theory suggests – for eight advanced country exchange rates against the US dollar, over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927015