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Market impacts of Japanese macroeconomic announcements within minutes on the dollar/yen foreign exchange are analyzed …-term business survey conducted by Bank of Japan), GDP, industrial production (preliminary), PPI, CPI (Tokyo area), the unemployment … components have return impacts also have impacts on deals and volatility. The announcement itself, in addition to the magnitude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152611
Intraday movements in the yen/dollar rate are examined over the 1980-86 period using opening and closing quotes in the … and U.S. stock prices suggests that intraday yen/dollar rate movements do contain at least some relevant information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227002
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786275
but it was neither constant nor stable over subsamples and that its volatility was considerably reduced after October 1982 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774551
Three surveys of exchange rate expectations allow us to measure directly the expected rates of return on yen versus … dollars. Expectations of yen appreciation against the dollar have been (1) consistently large, (2) variable, and (3) greater …-term horizons expectations exhibit bandwagon effects, while at longer-term horizons they show the reverse. A 10 percent yen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218532
We compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of univariate homoskedastic, GARCH, autoregressive and nonparametric models for conditional variances, using five bilateral weekly exchange rates for the dollar, 1973-1989. For a one week horizon, GARCH models tend to make slightly more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225431
United States and the fiscal position of the U.K., West Germany and Japan have also contributed to the dollar's strength …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228754
This study analyzes why formation of an exchange-rate union, such as the newly-established European Monetary System, can be harmful to the interests of some member countries. The framework provided for analyzing behavior in the union is a three-country model which combines an asset market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229142
With many emerging market currencies tied to the U.S. dollar either implicitly or explicitly, movements in the exchange values of the currencies of major countries have the potential to influence the competitive position of many developing countries. According to some analysts, establishing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230967
with volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774536