We propose a simple model of the international monetary system. We study the world supply and demand for reserve assets … denominated in different currencies under a variety of scenarios: a Hegemon vs. a multipolar world; abundant vs. scarce reserve … instability of the system, as well as the common prediction regarding the natural and beneficial emergence of a multipolar world …

On the twentieth anniversary of its inception, the euro has yet to expand its role as an international currency. We …, the euro comprises a far smaller share than that of the US dollar. Furthermore, that share has been roughly constant since … 1999. By some measures, the euro plays no larger a role than the Deutschemark and French franc that it replaced. We explore …

article, we provide evidence suggesting a recent rise in the use of the dollar, and fall of the use in the euro, with similar …

The European Union will enter Stage Three of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in 1999. The development of euro … financial markets and thickness externalities in the use of the euro as a means of payment will be the major factors determining … the importance of the euro as an international currency. As euro securities markets become deeper and more liquid and …

and its possible ascension to reserve currency status. In an unstable and financially integrated world, governments …' precautionary demand for reserve assets is likely to increase. But the world then risks a third crisis of the global reserve system …, another re-run of the Triffin paradox, with an ever-growing emerging-world insurance demand loaded onto a small group of ever …

euro might in the future rival or surpass the dollar as the world's leading international reserve currency appears to … currency? Unlike ten years ago, there now exists a credible competitor: the euro. This paper econometrically estimates … determinants of the shares of major currencies in the reserve holdings of the world's central banks. Significant factors include …

The euro has arisen as a credible eventual competitor to the dollar as leading international currency, much as the … major currencies in the reserve holdings of the world's central banks. Significant factors include: size of the home country … euro over the period 1999-2007. This paper updates calculations regarding possible scenarios for the future. We exclude the …

Foreign exchange reserve accumulation has risen dramatically in recent years. The introduction of the euro, greater … currencies. Making various assumptions on expected currency returns and the variance-covariance structure, we assess how the euro …-free) currency. (ii) The optimum portfolios show a much lower weight for the euro than is observed. This suggests that the euro may …