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We present a dynamic quantity setting game, where players may continuously adjust their quantity targets, but incur convex adjustment costs when they do so. These costs allow players to use quantity targets as a partial commitment device. We show that the equilibrium path of such a game is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243651
We develop a quantitative equilibrium model of financial crises to assess the interaction between ex-post interventions in credit markets and the buildup of risk ex ante. During a systemic crisis, bailouts relax balance sheet constraints and mitigate the severity of the recession. Ex ante, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096860
We show that stricter bank liquidity standards can trigger unintended credit booms when there is heterogeneity in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001209
increases a bank's likelihood of providing a loan. Companies may benefit from these relationships through more favorable loan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752667
This paper examines the effect that the coexistence of small and large banks, with different interests in the international market, has on the debt renegotiation process. Making use of a reputational model, we argue that the presence of small banks implies that debtor countries have a harder...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124691
Employing a large number of real and financial indicators, we use Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to forecast real-time measures of economic activity. Importantly, the predictor set includes option-adjusted credit spread indexes based on bond portfolios sorted by maturity and credit risk as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130981
We study models of credit with limited commitment, which implies endogenous borrowing constraints. We show that there are multiple stationary equilibria, as well as nonstationary equilibria, including some that display deterministic cyclic and chaotic dynamics. There are also stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119597
This paper develops a parsimonious static model for characterizing financing terms in collateralized lending markets. We characterize the systematic risk exposures for a variety of securities and develop a simple indifference-pricing framework to value the systematic crash risk exposure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120294
Theory predicts that there is a close link between bank credit supply and the evolution of the business cycle. Yet … fluctuations in bank-loan supply have been hard to quantify in the time-series. While loan issuance falls in recessions, it is not … clear if this is due to demand or supply. We address this question by studying firms' substitution between bank debt and non-bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120314
We investigate the characteristics and the default behavior of households who take out complex mortgages. Unlike traditional fixed rate or adjustable rate mortgages, complex mortgages are not fully amortizing and enable households to postpone loan repayment. We find that complex mortgages are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121009