Showing 1 - 10 of 417
This paper builds on the landmark contribution of Glosten (1994) by treating the determination of limit order supply schedules as an exercise in asset pricing theory with the possible sizes of incoming market orders as the value-relevant states of nature, yielding an analogue of the Fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772385
-shifts of heterogeneous durations affect the volatility of dividend news. We estimate tightly parameterized specifications with … likelihood than the classic Campbell and Hentschel (1992) specification, while generating volatility feedback effects 6 to 12 … times larger. We show in an extension that Bayesian learning about stochastic volatility is faster for bad states than good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754523
We consider various MIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) regression models to predict volatility. The models differ in the … specification of regressors (squared returns, absolute returns, realized volatility, realized power, and return ranges), in the use … data, we find that daily realized power (involving 5-minute absolute returns) is the best predictor of future volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755731
variability. We show that financial liberalization is mostly associated with lower consumption growth volatility. Our results are … volatility after equity market openings. The results hold for both total and idiosyncratic consumption growth volatility. We also … find that financial liberalizations are associated with declines in the ratio of consumption growth volatility to GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755765
We propose a model where investors hire fund managers to invest either in risky bonds or in riskless assets. Some managers have superior information on the default probability. Looking at the past performance, investors update beliefs on their managers and make firing decisions. This leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757530
This paper shows how changes in the volatility of the real interest rate at which small open emerging economies borrow … motivate our investigation, we document the strong evidence of time-varying volatility in the real interest rates faced by a … sample of four emerging small open economies: Argentina, Ecuador, Venezuela, and Brazil. We postulate a stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757576
-aged individuals. Understanding the mechanism underlying this observation is key to explaining the volatility of aggregate hours over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757916
to have dealt with the volatility better. Why? This paper explores Australian terms of trade volatility since 1901. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757921
Most major American industrial business cycles from around 1880 to the First World War were caused by fluctuations in the size of the cotton harvest due to economically exogenous factors such as weather. Wheat and corn harvests did not affect industrial production; nor did the cotton harvest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757928
The consumption of high-consumption households is more exposed to fluctuations in aggregate consumption and income than that of low-consumption households in the Consumer Expenditure (CEX) Survey. The exposure to aggregate consumption growth of households in the top 10 percent of the consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757961