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It has been suggested that countries which export in especially risky sectors will experience higher output volatility …. This measure is strongly correlated with terms-of-trade and output volatility, but does not exhibit a close relationship to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143181
The leverage effect refers to the generally negative correlation between an asset return and its changes of volatility … volatility estimated from high-frequency data. The puzzle lies in the fact that such an intuitively natural estimate yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118417
We propose several connectedness measures built from pieces of variance decompositions, and we argue that they provide natural and insightful measures of connectedness among financial asset returns and volatilities. We also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119773
fraction of labor market adjustment takes place along the intensive margin outside the United States, and that the volatility … of total hours relative to output volatility has increased over time in almost all countries. We use these data to re …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120295
This paper proposes a new mechanism by which country size and international trade affect macroeconomic volatility. We … firms have an impact on aggregate output volatility. We explore the quantitative properties of the model calibrated to data … for the 50 largest economies in the world. Smaller countries have fewer firms, and thus higher volatility. The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121047
relative risk aversion. High stock-price volatility can be explained by incorporating time-varying long-run growth rates and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121059
for time-varying volatility. We then feed these processes into an otherwise standard New Keynesian business cycle model … calibrated to the U.S. economy. We find that fiscal volatility shocks have an adverse effect on economic activity that is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121070
How does an economy behave if (1) fundamentals are truly hump-shaped, exhibiting momentum in the short run and partial mean reversion in the long run, and (2) agents do not know that fundamentals are hump-shaped and base their beliefs on parsimonious models that they fit to the available data? A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121090
This paper documents some previously neglected features of sectoral shares at business cycle frequencies in OECD economies. In particular, we find that the nontraded sector share of output is as volatile as aggregate GDP, and that for most countries, the nontraded sector is distinctly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121594
time-series volatility of productivity are also characterized by greater cross-sectional dispersion in productivity …. Volatility in TFP explains one quarter to one third of cross-country productivity dispersion. We document a similar relationship … between productivity volatility and the dispersion of the marginal revenue product of capital (static capital misallocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122876