Showing 1 - 10 of 547
We propose a portmanteau test for serial correlation of the error term in a fixed effects model. The test is derived as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229087
instrumental variables that are assumed to be uncorrelated with unobservables. We instead assume (i) the correlation between the … instrument and the error term has the same sign as the correlation between the endogenous regressor and the error term, and (ii …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311948
We document that even though the normal distribution provides a good approximation to GDP fluctuations, it severely underpredicts “macroeconomic tail risks,” that is, the frequency of large economic downturns. Using a multi-sector general equilibrium model, we show that the interplay of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030060
The synthetic control method is widely used in comparative case studies to adjust for differences in pre-treatment characteristics. A major attraction of the method is that it limits extrapolation bias that can occur when untreated units with different pre-treatment characteristics are combined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844744
We develop a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm for estimating Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, wherein a particle approximation to the posterior is built iteratively through tempering the likelihood. Using three examples consisting of an artificial state-space...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080203
Standard practice for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models maintains the assumption that economic variables are properly measured by a single indicator, and that all relevant information for the estimation is summarized by a small number of data series. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118075
Standard practice for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models maintains the assumption that economic variables are properly measured by a single indicator, and that all relevant information for the estimation is summarized by a small number of data series. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106021
Standard practice for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models maintains the assumption that economic variables are properly measured by a single indicator, and that all relevant information for the estimation is summarized by a small number of data series. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778086
International risk-sharing has far-reaching implications both for economic policy and for basic research in economics. When countries do not share risk, individuals in those countries experience fluctuations in their consumption levels that are undesirable and possibly unnecessary. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129220
We introduce the financial economics of market microstructure into the financial econometrics of asset return … volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function between latent … returns and market microstructure noise, which feature prominently in the recent volatility literature. The cross-correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137011