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While measurement error in the dependent variable does not lead to bias in some well-known cases, with a binary dependent variable the bias can be pronounced. In binary choice, Hausman, Abrevaya and Scott-Morton (1998) show that the marginal effects in the observed data differ from the true ones...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047031
In this paper, we assess the degree to which four of the most commonly used models of risky decision making can explain the choices individuals make when faced with risky prospects. To make this assessment, we use experimental evidence for two random samples of young adults. Using a robust,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135363
We analyze the returns to education in a life-cycle framework that incorporates risk preferences, earnings volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101828
their risk assessments and outcomes to those from a simple methodology that relies on publicly available market data and … market data; (iii) This discrepancy arises due to the reliance on regulatory risk weights in determining required levels of … capital once stress-test losses are taken into account. In particular, the continued reliance on regulatory risk weights in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083085
The magnitude of and heterogeneity in systematic earnings risk has important implications for various theories in macro …, labor, and financial economics. Using administrative data, we document how the aggregate risk exposure of individual … earnings to GDP and stock returns varies across gender, age, the worker's earnings level, and industry. Aggregate risk exposure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963164
Assessing the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is essential for policymakers, but challenging because the crisis has unfolded with extreme speed. We identify three indicators – stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic uncertainty, and subjective uncertainty in business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837188
appropriate measure of an asset's risk is the covariance of the asset's return with the market return. The consumption CAPM, on … the other hand, implies that a better measure of risk is the covariance with aggregate consumption growth. We examine a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774649
We characterize and measure a long-run risk return tradeoff for the valuation of financial cash flows that are exposed … inputs from vector autoregressions to quantify this relationship; and we study the long-run risk differences in aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784498
We demonstrate, using data for the period 1954-2003, that differences in exposure to consumption risk explains cross … calendar year return when computing the latter's exposure to consumption risk. We find strong support for our consumption risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762530
We investigate whether stock markets efficiently price risks brought on or exacerbated by climate change. We focus on drought, the most damaging natural disaster for crops and food-company cash flows. We show that prolonged drought in a country, measured by the Palmer Drought Severity Index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978090