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Conventional models of production under uncertainty specify that output is produced in fixed proportions across states of nature. I investigate a representation of technology that allows firms to transform output from one state to another. I allow the firm to choose the distribution of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858030
explain a set of behavioral anomalies identified across four distinct domains of decision-making: choice under risk, choice … risk and ambiguity, belief updating, and survey expectations. Our framework makes predictions that we test using exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858403
that procyclicality is more pervasive in countries with higher sovereign risk and provide a model of optimal fiscal policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862402
I review evidence of rising policy uncertainty in the U.S. and global economies, drawing heavily on newspaper-based measures. Examples from countries around the world illustrate the role of political and policy developments as drivers of fluctuations in economic uncertainty. I also highlight the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863256
exposure to latent risk factors, IPCA will identify the corresponding latent factors. If no such factors exist, IPCA infers … that the characteristic effect is compensation without risk and allocates it to an "anomaly" intercept. Studying returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920885
important role in their ability to mitigate environmental risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921510
We develop a classification methodology for the context and content of news articles to predict risk and return in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923706
We examine the interaction of economic and policy uncertainty in a dynamic, heterogeneous firms model. Uncertainty about foreign income, trade protection and their interaction dampens export investment. This can be mitigated by trade agreements, which are particularly valuable in periods of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925905
process also implies lower welfare costs of earnings risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927027
facing uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk. The Ramsey government internalizes the general equilibrium feedback of … optimal aggregate saving rate is independent of income risk. The optimal time-invariant tax on capital is increasing in income … risk. Its sign depends on the extent of risk and on the Pareto weight of future generations. If the Ramsey tax rate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927058