solutions such as the conservative central banker and optimal inflation contracts. Our theoretical model also shows how an … inflation targeting range should be set and how it should respond to changes in the nature of shocks to the economy …

sustained inflation are small relative to the costs of unemployment. If a temporary reduction in unemployment causes a permanent … increase in inflation, the present value of the resulting future welfare costs may well exceed the temporary short-run gain …. Previous analyses have underestimated the cost of a permanent increase in the inflation rate because they have ignored the …

uncertainty about the composition or timing of a stabilization. Under full certainty, inflation may rise, fall, or remain constant … there is no simple correlation between changes in the budget deficit and inflation. With uncertainty about the timing OF a … stabilization, the inflation rate will most likely exhibit fluctuations and may overshoot its steady state value, even when real …

inflation: the "myopic? government approach and the "weak" government approach. In myopic government models inflation is the … deliberate outcome of politicians strategic behavior, while in weak government models inflation is the unavoidable result of a … political developments in 76 countries for the period 1971-1982. Using a number of alternative definitions of the inflation tax …

Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time …-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model … independent evidence that real rate risk premia and inflation risk premia contribute to nominal bond excess return predictability …

policies will adjust. Temporarily explosive debt has no effect on inflation if households expect all adjustments to occur … targeting inflation to stabilizing debt, then debt feeds directly into the path of inflation and monetary policy can no longer … control inflation. News that reduces expected primary surpluses can bring future inflation into the present, well before the …

impact of time-varying inflation. Consistent with the Modigliani-Cohn hypothesis, we find that the level of inflation …

a burst of inflation that devalues the existing nominal debt stock. The probability of this outcome places upward … pressure on inflation expectations and poses a substantial challenge to a central bank pursuing an inflation target. The … distribution of outcomes for the path of future inflation has a fat right tail, revealing that only a small set of outcomes imply …

countries with low inflation, the raw relationship between average inflation and the growth rate of money is tenuous at best … elasticities implied by theories of Baumol-Tobin and Miller-Orr. Finally, the sample after 1990 shows considerably less inflation … variability, worsening the fit of a one-for-one relationship between money growth and inflation, and generates a fairly low …