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An enhanced version of a structural model jointly explains benefit claiming, wealth and retirement, including reversals from states of lesser to greater work. The model includes stochastic returns on assets. Estimated with Health and Retirement Study data, it does a better job of predicting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081500
planner, who uses tools such as default savings and Social Security to influence the consumption choices of myopic and passive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951336
Typical neoclassical life-cycle models predict that Social Security has a large and negative effect on private savings … private savings and find little to support the strong predictions from the theoretical model. We explore possible reasons for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954453
little effect on savings rates. In many countries, however, retirement incentives in social security programs prevent … retirement ages from keeping pace with changes in life expectancy, leading to an increased need for life-cycle savings. Analyzing … a cross-country panel of macroeconomic data, we find that increased longevity raises aggregate savings rates in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760611
The effect of social security and other forms of government debt on national savings is one of the most widely debated … policy questions in economics today. Some estimates suggest that social security has reduced U.S. savings by almost forty … percent. This paper examines recent cross-section and time series empirical tests of the social security-savings question and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221107
The U.S. Social Security Administration, in cooperation with similar agencies in other countries, recently developed estimates of social security benefits for twelve major industrial countries. The present paper uses these data to estimate the effects of social security benefits on saving and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222663
This paper, which was presented as the 1979 Frank Paish Lecture to the British Association of University Teachers of Economics, provides a non-technical summary of the recent studies of the effects of social security on private saving. The first section discusses the theoretical indeterminacy of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225599
Recent advances in the examination of efficiency gains from dynamic tax reforms have used simulation models to isolate intragenerational and/or intergenerational effects. Important considerations having to do with uncertainty or capital market imperfections are frequently missing from such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210628
Although there have been several studies of the effect of social security on private saving, there has been no attempt to measure the welfare cost of this distortion. The present paper develops an analytic framework for this evaluation and presents numerical calculations
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245545
This paper focuses on precautionary saving against uncertain longevity and on the annuity insurance aspects of social security within the life-cycle framework. The principal findings are three. First, the evolution of social security is reviewed in response to missing markets for providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012751964