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yields on long maturity inflation - indexed bonds. This relationship can be interpreted as defining the fair value of the … exchange rate that will prevail in any model or real world economy in which inflation indexed bonds are traded. An advantage of … with a 50 basis point rise in the inflation indexed bond return differential in favor of the foreign country and an 50 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087887
rates, and the shift in the response of the term structure of interest rates to inflation and output. Although the theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775473
Over the past century, the world economy has passed through a succession of phases characterized by very different levels of international capital flows. This paper asks what accounts for these dramatic shifts in the extent of capital movements across national borders, three categories of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776702
We argue that the Great Inflation experienced by both the United Kingdom and the United States in the 1970s has an … common doctrine underlying the systematic monetary policy choices in each country. The nonmonetary approach to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757531
Are structural models getting closer to being able to forecast exchange rates at short horizons? Here we argue that misinterpretation of some new out-of-sample tests for nested models, over-reliance on asymptotic test statistics, and failure to sufficiently check robustness to alternative time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771554
It is almost invariably taken for granted in theoretical descriptions of the international price mechanism and in the construction of trade models that a country's export price for a particular product is identical to its domestic price. Any impact of foreign or domestic events on prices is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221992
The most important conclusion of this paper is that the growth rate of the money supply influences the U.S. inflation …, help to explain why U.S. inflation was so low in 1976 and why it accelerated so rapidly in 1978. Granger causality tests … indicate that lagged exchange rate changes influence inflation, but lagged inflation does not cause exchange rate changes. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224206
This paper studies the behavior of inflation after nine large post-1990 contractionary devaluations. A salient feature … of the data is that inflation is low relative to the rate of devaluation. We argue that distribution costs and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226060
This paper analyzes the relationship between exchange rates, inflation and disinflation in Latin America. The analysis … inflation. The second issue addressed in the paper refers to the use of a nominal exchange rate anchor to reduce inflation. Data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232014
paper argues that the core driver is convergence in monetary policy, reflected in a sharp-reduction of inflation and short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232443