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capacities. We study a non stochastic CRS endogenous growth model where public expenditure is an input in the production process … effective tax rate. We show how persistent differences in growth rates across countries could stem from differential public … welfare and the growth rate. With outstanding public debt, the optimal fiscal policy should keep the debt-to-GDP ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777949
episodes of sustained rapid rise in equity prices in the 19th and 20th Centuries, and then assess the growth of real output … rapid real growth and productivity advance, suggesting that booms are driven at least partly by fundamentals. We find no … growth were above average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127756
The large asset price jumps that took place during 2008 and 2009 disrupted volatility derivatives markets and caused …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128275
We estimate the trend in the transitory variance of male earnings in the U.S. using the Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics from 1970 to 2004. Using both an error components model as well as simpler but only approximate methods, we find that the transitory variance started to increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129122
Shocks to equity options' ATM implied volatility (ATMIV) are followed by persistently lower short-term rates. Shocks to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130555
While the degree of policy inertia in central banks' reaction functions is a central ingredient in theoretical and empirical monetary economics, the source of the observed policy inertia in the U.S. is controversial, with tests of competing hypotheses such as interest-smoothing and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131304
finance higher investment and growth; (ii) insure against aggregate shocks and reduce consumption volatility; and (iii … capital flows, investment, and growth; (ii) large capital inflows and higher investment and growth; or (iii) volatile capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132044
high volatility are followed by periods of low volatility. For instance, the turbulent 1970s were followed by the much more … tranquil times of the great moderation from 1984 to 2007. Modeling these movements in volatility is important to understand the … different mechanisms proposed in the literature to generate changes in volatility similar to the ones observed in the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135053
In this paper, we explore the link between stress in the domestic financial sector and the capital flight faced by countries in the 2008-9 global crisis. Both the timing of emergence of internal financial stress in developing economies, and the size of the peak-trough declines in the stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135062
-series variation of conditional volatility and skewness of the swap rate distributions implied by the swaption cube. We then develop … and estimate a dynamic term structure model that is consistent with these stylized facts, and use it to infer volatility … these distributions. In particular, we find that volatility, volatility risk premia, skewness, and skewness risk premia are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135764