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. We critically examine popular stories such as 'gold is an inflation hedge'. We show that gold may be an effective hedge … if the investment horizon is measured in centuries. Over practical investment horizons, gold is an unreliable inflation … hedge. We also explore valuation. The real price of gold is currently high compared to history. In the past, when the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088402
price changes to fundamental economic shocks. We use the estimates of the pure inflation and aggregate relative-price … are they related to conventional measures of monetary policy and relative-price shocks? We find that pure inflation … accounts for 15-20% of the variability in inflation while our aggregate relative-price index accounts most of the rest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759679
This paper studies the welfare effects of the relative price variability arising from inflation. When agents interact … in anonymous markets, with customers buying from new suppliers each period, relative price variability benefits customers … informational role: a potential customer uses current prices as signals of future prices. Inflation reduces the informativeness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214577
independence of relative price changes and inflation that is assumed in neo- classical models. More recently, New Keynesian … macroeconomists have shown that the strong positive correlation between inflation and the skewness of the price change distribution is … establish that one of the most accepted stylized facts in the literature on aggregate price behavior, that inflation and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230373
between notional and effective demands, and using it to explain price and quantity adjustments in conditions of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230788
We test whether the time-series positive correlation of inflation and intermarket relative price variability is also … higher than average inflation also have higher than average relative price dispersion, ceteris paribus. This result holds for … part of the relationship between inflation and relative price variability cannot be explained by monetary factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227505
We implement a new approach for the identification of news shocks about future technology. In a VAR featuring a measure … frequency variation in technology. News shocks are positively correlated with consumption, stock price, and consumer confidence … innovations, and negatively correlated with inflation innovations. The disinflationary nature of news shocks is consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156463
School quality and grade completion by students are shown to be directly linked, leading to very different perspectives on educational policy in developing countries. Unique panel data on primary school age children in Egypt permit estimation of behavioral models of school leaving. Students...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778157
The rise of civilizations involved the dual emergence of economies that could produce surplus (“prosperity”) and states that could protect surplus (“security”). But the joint achievement of security and prosperity had to escape a paradox: prosperity attracts predation, and higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009442
We conduct a randomized experiment that generates exogenous variation in the access to foreign markets for rug producers in Egypt. Combined with detailed survey data, we causally identify the impact of exporting on firm performance. Treatment firms report 16-26 percent higher profits and exhibit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043622