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inflation target. The first two strategies restore the Taylor principle as a sufficient condition for stabilizing expectations …. In contrast, in economies with persistent shocks, communicating the inflation target fails to protect against … policy strategy: announcing an inflation target is not enough to stabilize expectations -- one must also announce how this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759936
solutions such as the conservative central banker and optimal inflation contracts. Our theoretical model also shows how an … inflation targeting range should be set and how it should respond to changes in the nature of shocks to the economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779650
A new measure of credibility is constructed as a function of the differential between observed inflation and some … estimate of the inflation rate that the central bank targets. The target is assumed to be met flexibly. Credibility is …-2008 financial crisis. The VIX, adopting an inflation target and central bank transparency, are the most reliable determinants of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011938
As central bankers intensify their focus on inflation as the primary goal of monetary policy, it becomes increasingly … important to have accurate and reliable measures of changes in the aggregate price level. Measuring inflation is surprisingly … transitory noise and bias. Noise causes short-run changes in measured inflation to inaccurately reflect movements in long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231567
labor markets employment and output are decreasing and inflation is initially increasing and then decreasing in the degree … of central bank conservatism. A radical-populist central banker who cares not at all about inflation (alternatively, who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249145
. Deflation subsided by 2005. As soon as inflation appeared to stabilize near a rate of zero, the Bank of Japan rapidly reduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149980
Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal … the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations of information about the severity of the pandemic, recent actions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830487
A model of interest rate movements in response to new information on the money stock is developed.The model, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229377
Considerable debate rages about whether Federal Reserve policy was too lax in the early part of the 2000s, thereby fueling the home-price bubble that was the proximate cause of the global financial crisis. We present evidence that the view that modest alterations to monetary policy have vast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129137
This paper examines what we have learned and how we should change our thinking about monetary policy strategy in the aftermath of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. It starts with a discussion of where the science of monetary policy was before the crisis and how central banks viewed monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130559