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relatively high proportions of individuals with diminished cognitive and social skills. A cross-disciplinary examination of … skills, as well as on brain architecture and neurochemistry; that both skill development and brain maturation are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761339
communication about future interest rate decisions based on information from the Internet and news sources. We apply the methodology … to statements released by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) after its policy meetings starting in 1999. Using … announcements, whereas longer-dated Treasuries mainly react to changes in policy communication. Using lower frequency data, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150907
Over the last two decades, communication has become an increasingly important aspect of monetary policy. These real …-world developments have spawned a huge new scholarly literature on central bank communication -- mostly empirical, and almost all of it … written in this decade. We survey this ever-growing literature. The evidence suggests that communication can be an important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759390
communication by central banks about their policy decisions, the targets that they seek to achieve through those decisions, and the … central bank's view of the economy's likely future evolution. This paper considers the role of such communication in the … signaling by the FOMC in the U.S., using the statement released following each Committee meeting, since August 2003. The second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252330
informal communication – including unattributed communication -- plays a central role in monetary policy communication. This … contrasts with the standard communications framework in which communication should be public and on-the-record because it serves … to ensure accountability and policy effectiveness. I lay out possible benefits of using unattributed communication as an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244427
Monetary policy decisions tend to be based on systematic analysis of alternative policy choices and their associated macroeconomic impacts: this is science. Fiscal policy choices, in contrast, spring from unsystematic speculation, grounded more in politics than economics: this is alchemy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136545
We use a rational expectations framework to assess the implications of rising debt in an environment with a "fiscal limit." The fiscal limit is defined as the point where the government no longer has the ability to finance higher debt levels by increasing taxes, so either an adjustment to fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136559
We introduce a novel method for estimating a monetary policy rule using macroeconomic news. We estimate directly the policy rule agents use to form their expectations by linking news' effects on forecasts of both economic conditions and monetary policy. Evidence between 1994 and 2007 indicates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137598
Inflation targeting is shown to imply inflation forecast targeting: the central bank's inflation forecast becomes an … explicit intermediate target. Inflation forecast targeting simplifies both implementation and monitoring of monetary policy …. The weight on output stabilization determines how quickly the inflation forecast is adjusted towards the inflation target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125561
Slow moving demographics are aging populations around the world and pushing many countries into an extended period of heightened fiscal stress. In some countries, taxes alone cannot or likely will not fully fund projected pension and health care expenditures. If economic agents place sufficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154566