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Micro- and macro-level evidence indicates that fluctuations in idiosyncratic uncertainty have a large effect on investment; the impact of uncertainty on investment occurs primarily through changes in credit spreads; and innovations in credit spreads have a strong effect on investment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055504
We develop a classification methodology for the context and content of news articles to predict risk and return in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923706
current law. Calculations of expected utility show that these risk reduction techniques can raise expected utility relative to … the plans with no guarantees. The ability to do so depends on the individual's risk aversion level. This underlines the … idea that different individuals would rationally prefer different investment strategies and risk reduction options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233225
This paper examines the risk aspects of an investment-based defined contribution Social Security plan. We focus on the … risk after the plan is fully phased in. Individuals deposit a fraction of wages to a Personal Retirement Account (PRA … cushion' that protects the individual from the risk of an unacceptably low level of benefits. For example, PRA deposits of 6 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014138416
Investor confidence and risk tolerance are important concepts that investors are constantly trying to gauge. Yet these … changes in demand and fundamentals perceived by all investors, and a second that reflects changes in the relative risk … tolerance of institutional investors over and above that of domestics. The latter component, changes in relative risk tolerance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074149
This paper uses propensity score methods to address the question: how well can an observational study estimate the treatment impact of a program? Using data from Lalonde's (1986) influential evaluation of non-experimental methods, we demonstrate that propensity score methods succeed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221090
The recent experimental evaluation of the U.S. Job Training Partnership Act (JTPA) program found negative effects of training on the earnings of disadvantaged male youth and no effect on the earnings of disadvantaged female youth. These findings provided justification for Congress to cut the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243373
Empirical research on the permanent income hypothesis (PIH) has found that consumption growth is excessively sensitive to predictable changes in income. This finding is interpreted as strong evidence against the PIH. We propose an explanation for apparent excess sensitivity that is based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014196816
on more investment risk. This paper documents several lesser known logical implications of the GASB methodology. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118133
We outline a dividend signaling approach in which rational managers signal firm strength to investors who are loss averse to reductions in dividends relative to the reference point set by prior dividends. Managers with strong but unobservable cash earnings separate themselves by paying high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103531