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fully attend to consumption in all periods but fail to attend to some future lumpy expenditure opportunities. This asymmetry … expenditure. We find support for these predictions in three field experiments that randomly assign reminders to new savings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139968
We model a financial market in which investor beliefs are shaped by representativeness. Investors overreact to a series of good news, because such a series is representative of a good state. A few bad news do not change investor minds because the good state is still representative, but enough...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029565
We present a standard model of financial innovation, in which intermediaries engineer securities with cash flows that investors seek, but modify two assumptions. First, investors (and possibly intermediaries) neglect certain unlikely risks. Second, investors demand securities with safe cash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142292
We propose an empirical implementation of the consumption-investment problem using the martingale representation … and probabilities, which generate variation in consumption, and the consumption smoothing induced by risk aversion. Using … options-implied information, we find quantitatively different optimal consumption and portfolio policies than those implied by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772381
fundamental value of the house they own exceeds the present discounted value of their planned future consumption of housing … is no pure wealth effect on consumption from a change in house prices if this represents a change in fundamental value …. There is a pure wealth effect on consumption from a change in house prices if this reflects a change in the speculative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758559
This paper investigates how Confucianism affects individual decision making in Taiwan and in China. We found that Chinese subjects in our experiments became less accepting of Confucian values, such that they became significantly more risk loving, less loss averse, and more impatient after being...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073199
We estimate discount rates of 555 subjects using a laboratory task and find that these individual discount rates predict inter-individual variation in field behaviors (e.g., exercise, BMI, smoking). The correlation between the discount rate and each field behavior is small: none exceeds 0.28 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758495
I examine the interaction between present-bias and limited memory. Individuals in the model must choose when and whether to complete a task, but may forget or procrastinate. Present-bias expands the effect of memory: it induces delay and limits take-up of reminders. Cheap reminder technology can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048997
There is a large body of literature documenting both a preference for immediacy and a tendency to procrastinate. O'Donoghue and Rabin (1999a,b, 2001) and Choi et al. (2005) model these behaviors as the two faces of the same phenomenon. In this paper, we use a combination of lab, field, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222925
concept driving savings decisions, consumption allocations, prices and return volatilities. Surprisingly, due to the … equilibrium risk sharing, the precautionary savings motive in the aggregate can vastly exceed that of even the most prudent actual … agent in the economy. Consequently, a low real interest rate, resulting from large aggregate savings, can prevail with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122647