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Incorporating Climate Uncertainty into Estimates of Climate Change Impacts, with Applications to U.S. And African Agriculture
Burke, Marshall - 2014
A growing body of economics research projects the effects of global climate change on economic outcomes. Climate scientists often criticize these articles because nearly all ignore the well-established uncertainty in future temperature and rainfall changes, and therefore appear likely to have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067961
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The Determinants of Food Aid Provisions to Africa and the Developing World
Nunn, Nathan - 2014
We examine the supply-side and demand-side determinants of global bilateral food aid shipments between 1971 and 2008. First, we find that domestic food production in developing countries is negatively correlated with subsequent food aid receipts, suggesting that food aid receipt is partly driven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068872
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Africa's Lagging Demographic Transition : Evidence from Exogenous Impacts of Malaria Ecology and Agricultural Technology
Conley, Dalton - 2014
Much of Africa has not yet gone through a quot;demographic transitionquot; to reduced mortality and fertility rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752005
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Evolving Comparative Advantage and the Impact of Climate Change in Agricultural Markets : Evidence from 1.7 Million Fields Around the World
Costinot, Arnaud - 2015
A large agronomic literature models the implications of climate change for a variety of crops and locations around the world. The goal of the present paper is to quantify the macro-level consequences of these micro-level shocks. Using an extremely rich micro-level dataset that contains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033731
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Impacts of Climate Change and Extreme Weather on U.S. Agricultural Productivity : Evidence and Projection
Wang, Sun Ling - 2017
This paper employs a stochastic frontier approach to examine how climate change and extreme weather affect U.S. agricultural productivity using 1940-1970 historical weather data (mean and variation) as the norm. We have four major findings. First, using temperature humidity index (THI) load and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953514
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Is Agricultural Production Becoming More or Less Sensitive to Extreme Heat? Evidence from U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields
Roberts, Michael J. - 2010
Extreme heat is the single best predictor of corn and soybean yields in the United States. While average yields have risen continuously since World War II, we find no evidence that relative tolerance to extreme heat has improved between 1950 and 2005. Climate change forecasts project a sharp...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138707
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Measuring the Economic Effect of Global Warming on Viticulture Using Auction, Retail, and Wholesale Prices
Ashenfelter, Orley - 2010
In this paper we measure the effect of year to year changes in the weather on wine prices and winery revenue in the Mosel Valley in Germany in order to determine the effect that climate change is likely to have on the income of wine growers. A novel aspect of our analysis is that we compare the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142934
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Transhumant Pastoralism, Climate Change, and Conflict in Africa
McGuirk, Eoin; Nunn, Nathan - 2022
pastoralists – in Africa. Traditionally, transhumant pastoralists benefit from a cooperative relationship with sedentary … events in Africa from 1989–2018. We show that droughts in the territory of transhumant pastoralists lead to conflict in … explains a sizable proportion of conflict events in Africa, particularly civil conflicts and religious-extremist attacks. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089908
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Backtesting European Stress Tests
Philippon, Thomas - 2017
We provide a first evaluation of the quality of banking stress tests in the European Union. We use stress tests scenarios and banks' estimated losses to recover bank level exposures to macroeconomic factors. Once macro outcomes are realized, we predict banks' losses and compare them to actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964887
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Electoral Competition with Fake News
Grossman, Gene M.; Helpman, Elhanan - 2022
Misinformation pervades political competition. We introduce opportunities for political candidates and their media supporters to spread fake news about the policy environment and perhaps about parties' positions into a familiar model of electoral competition. In the baseline model with full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014103499