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We implement a dynamic programming algorithm on a computational grid consisting of loosely coupled processors, possibly including clusters and individual workstations. The grid changes dynamically during the computation, as processors enter and leave the pool of workstations. The algorithm is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088396
the linear approach to dynamic programming by using ideas from approximation theory to avoid inefficient discretization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082154
The goal of this paper is to study the problem of optimal dynamic policy formulation with competing political parties. We study a general class of problems, in which the two competing political parties have quadratic intertemporal objective functions, and in which the economy has a linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218965
In this paper we propose a new variance estimator for OLS as well as for nonlinear estimators such as logit, probit and GMM, that provcides cluster-robust inference when there is two-way or multi-way clustering that is non-nested. The variance estimator extends the standard cluster-robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778337
This paper examines monetary policy in Rudebusch and Svensson's (1999) two equation macroeconomic model when the policymaker recognizes that the model is an approximation and is uncertain about the quality of that approximation. It is argued that the minimax approach of robust control provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310544
Economists typically check the robustness of their results by comparing them across plausible ranges of parameter values and model structures. A preferable approach to robustness—for the purposes of policymaking and evaluation—is to design policy that takes these ranges into account. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244253
This paper develops a theory of dynamic pessimism and its impact on asset prices. Notions of time-varying pessimism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297584
In this paper we discuss the properties of confidence intervals for regression parameters based on robust standard errors. We discuss the motivation for a modification suggested by Bell and McCaffrey (2002) to improve the finite sample properties of the confidence intervals based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099125
This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains that a small open economy can derive from insuring against natural disasters with catastrophe (CAT) bonds. We calibrate the model by reference to the risk of earthquakes, floods and storms in developing countries. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013167
A key open question in economics is the practical, portable modeling of bounded rationality. In this short note, I report ongoing progress that is more fully developed elsewhere. I present some results from a new model in which the decision-maker builds a simplified representation of the world....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110191