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how it affects rational investors' demand for event risk exposures. We show that while parameter uncertainty does indeed … argue that parameter uncertainty does not appear to be a satisfactory explanation for high event-risk returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763236
treatments respond to flood risk. We identify reactions to flood risk, distinctly from price effects due to flood damage, by … seaboard. We find that homes in high flood risk zones situated in towns that participate in public flood awareness activities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867643
-fifths of our respondents favor government relief for disaster victims, but only one-third do for victims in high-risk areas …, and indicated whether they favored governmental disaster relief. For all hazards, including auto accident risks, most … respondents assessed their risks as being below average, with one-third assessing them as average. Individuals from high-risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755455
public sector, it may be economically rational for those at risk not to invest in protective measures. Risk management …. These may include multi-year insurance contracts, well-enforced regulations, third-party inspections, and alternative risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104996
shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic … probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150731
A growing body of evidence suggests that uncertainty is counter cyclical, rising sharply in recessions and falling in booms. But what is the causal relationship between uncertainty and growth? To identify this we construct cross country panel data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062729
the mean and volatility of equity returns. Our model assumes a small risk of a rare disaster that is calibrated based on … the international data on large consumption declines. We allow the risk of this rare disaster to be stochastic, which … specifications for the stochastic rare disaster probability and show that the data favor a multifrequency process. Finally, we show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073202
between consumption losses in a disaster and the risk premium, a small amount of risk sharing can significantly attenuate the … effect that disaster risk has on the equity premium. We characterize the sensitivity of risk premium to wealth distribution … lead to significant variation in disaster risk premium. It also highlights the conditions under which disaster risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142936
Uncertainty rises in recessions and falls in booms. But what is the causal relationship? We construct cross-country panel data on stock market levels and volatility and use natural disasters, terrorist attacks, and political shocks as instruments in regressions and VAR estimations. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833750
regional-level mitigation or adaptation, which reduces disaster risks to capital in the interim. Mitigation depends on belief … regarding the adverse consequences of global warming. Pessimism jumps with a disaster and slowly reverts in the absence of … increasing cyclone frequency. For a typical country exposed to cyclones, a disaster arrival not only damages its capital stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311024