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Contagion is usually defined as correlation between markets in excess of what would be implied by economic fundamentals; however, there is considerable disagreement regarding the definitions of the fundamentals, how the fundamentals might differ across countries, and the mechanisms that link the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762856
In the present paper we analyze the relationship between index funds and asset prices. In particular, our analysis of daily index fund flows indicates a strong contemporaneous correlation between fund inflows and Samp;P market returns. We also document a strong negative correlation between fund...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763384
Over the last 20 years, some financial events, such as devaluations or defaults, have triggered an immediate adverse chain reaction in other countries -- which we call fast and furious contagion. Yet, on other occasions, similar events have failed to trigger any immediate international reaction....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221538
We apply the method of constrained asset share estimation (CASE) to test the mean-variance efficiency (MVE) of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763456
A single macroeconomic factor based on growth in the capital share of aggregate income exhibits significant explanatory power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price estimates that are of the same sign and similar in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040236
Existing models of contagious currency crises are summarized and surveyed, and it is argued that more weight should be put on political factors. Towards this end, the concept of political contagion introduced, whereby contagion in speculative attacks across currencies arises solely because of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239960
identification procedure based on conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) that solves the problem of estimation in a linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248393
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763174
We provide a simple and intuitive measure of interdependence of asset returns and/or volatilities. In particular, we formulate and examine precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. Our framework facilitates study of both non-crisis and crisis episodes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759516
-term interest rate in the U.S. and Japan during the period 1971:1-1989:3. The paper finds that similar variables, including the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763162