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In the past fifteen years key exchange rates have moved in larger and more persistent ways than advocates of flexible rates in the late 1960s would have left anyone free to imagine. Certainly there was no expectation of constancy for nominal exchange rates. But real exchange rate movements of 30...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214613
This paper applies the analytical framework of the monetary approach to exchange rate determination to the analysis of the Dollar/Pound exchange rate during the first part of the 1920's. The analysis uses monthly data up to the return of Britain to gold in 1925. The equilibrium exchange rate is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243655
We study the transmission of sovereign debt inflow shocks on domestic firms. We exploit episodes of large sovereign debt inflows in six emerging countries that are due to the announcements of these countries' inclusion in two major local-currency sovereign debt indexes. We show that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289107
This paper examines the inflation targeting experience in three transition countries: the Czech Republic, Poland and … Hungary. While the examined countries have missed inflation targets often by a large margin, they nevertheless progressed well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225557
membership (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia). A Multi-Annual Fiscal Adjustment Strategy (MAFAS) and a Pre …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225816
Poland so far. We then develop a model and use it to think about the determinants of the speed of transition and the level of … unemployment. Finally, we return to the role of policy and the future in Poland, as well as the causes of cross-Central European …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089271
We estimate the impact of COVID-19 on business failures for small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) using firm-level data in seventeen countries. Absent government support, the failure rate of SMEs would have increased by 9.1 percentage points, representing 4.6 percent of private sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244116
Which is the tighter constraint on private sector investment: weak property rights or limited access to external finance? From a survey of new firms in post-communist countries, we find that weak property rights discourage firms from reinvesting their profits, even when bank loans are available....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213059
The paper develops an analytical framework to discuss the determinants of the premium in the black market for dollars in Brazil. While the specific details of the model were chosen with the Brazilian case in mind, the structure of the model is quite general and suitable for application to black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247441
Flexible exchange-rate systems often are not recommended for countries undergoing economic transition. In late 1989, the former Soviet Union instituted exchange-rate flexibility on the limited share of enterprise international transactions channelled through the auction and. later, interbank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308348